Investors from all over the world are flocking to Asia Pacific property debt.
Real estate debt is rapidly cementing itself as an alternative investment class in Asia Pacific, according to new research from CBRE, as global investors explore new ways to deploy capital in this field. real estate companies in qatar
Tightening lending conditions in some
countries, lower property prices, and the possibility of a rate hike in many
markets are driving investors to seek out more debt exposure and increase
transaction activity in 2018.
Rather than taking equity positions, an
increasing number of investors are lending against Asia Pacific real estate
properties. Several factors have influenced the increased interest in this
strategy, including a combination of higher demand and historically low yields,
as well as a scarcity of investible stock. In addition, in the face of rising
interest rates from the US Federal Reserve, some Asian lenders have taken a
more cautious approach to real estate.
"Across the country, demand for real
estate debt investment is increasing. Tighter lending conditions in some
markets have opened doors for nontraditional lenders, and some investors
believe debt offers better risk adjusted returns than equity. Some clients are
also using debt to take a more strategic medium-term role in the capital stack
"CBRE's Executive Managing Director, Capital Markets, Asia, Tom Moffat,
agrees.
Investor interest in debt is also being
bolstered by a change in the real estate capital stack from a conventional bank
loan plus equity structure to one that emphasizes mezzanine financing and
preferred equity. The different types of debt investments available in Asia
Pacific are placed at different risk levels, which investors are factoring into
their capital allocation strategies.
Senior lending is correlated with the
lowest risk level since it is at the bottom of the capital stack. Although
commercial banks have historically provided this service, non-bank financiers
such as insurance companies and pension funds are increasingly entering the
market, especially in Australia.
Investors involved in debt strategies in
Asia Pacific continue to concentrate on mezzanine funding and preferred equity.
These techniques are used to increase loan-to-value (LTV) ratios or to meet
short-term cash needs for construction projects. Private equity real estate
funds and debt funds are driving activity in this segment in Asia Pacific.
In 2018, there were a number of notable
developments, including:
China: Due to the tightening of
conventional domestic lenders, new groups are looking to expand their exposure
to the Chinese real estate market. Global investors are gravitating towards
construction loans, junior and mezzanine debt, and non-performing loans as a
result of the national deleveraging drive and the downturn in residential sales
(NPLs).
Medium-sized Chinese developers are
attracting investment in mezzanine debt because of their growth potential and
attractive returns of 15-20%. However, only 40% of mid-size developers in China
have positive cashflows.
As national asset management firms and
commercial banks intensify the selling of nonperforming loans, opportunities
are emerging. The NPL pool in China's real estate is estimated to be worth USD
15 to 20 billion, according to CBRE.
Hong Kong: Investment activity is still
high, but conventional lenders' lower LTV levels are allowing mezzanine and
stretch senior financing to flourish.
Mezzanine loans for commercial property
acquisitions are provided by international financiers, sovereign wealth funds,
and private funds. Offshore sovereign wealth funds are driving the growth of
senior loans and mezzanine debt transactions.
India: As banks tighten the liquidity
available for project financing and the default rate rises, domestic
residential developers continue to pursue alternative funding sources. As a
result, instead of issuing mezzanine debt, developers now tend to engage with
equity investors.
Since 2015, Indian-focused real estate debt
funds have raised over $2.0 billion in construction debt funding for local
residential developers.
Foreign investors have recently increased
their exposure to India by investing in debt.
The growing interest and activity in real
estate debt in the area, as well as the opportunities available to investors,
according to CBRE, must be tempered by warnings about the various challenges.
"The debt market in Asia Pacific will
eventually mature, bringing with it the threats and challenges that come with
an alternative asset class. Since the majority of existing opportunities in
Asia Pacific's real estate debt room are still in mezzanine debt and
construction loans, it's important for investors to fully comprehend the assets
they're underwriting "CBRE's Asia Pacific Head of Research, Dr. Henry
Chin, agrees.
The main obstacle for investors is locating
suitable real estate debt opportunities, as the debt market in this area can be
difficult to navigate. Currency uncertainty should also be considered by
investors. Because of the asset class's maturity, due diligence must be
stringent and provide a thorough evaluation of the borrowers' credit danger.
Despite some setbacks, CBRE expects Asia
Pacific real estate debt markets to expand. According to CBRE Research's 2018
Asia Pacific Investor Intentions survey, real estate debt piqued investors'
attention as the preferred alternative asset class.
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