Home prices in Iceland are rising rapidly1!
Trend: house prices in Q3 2018 up 2.2 percent y-o-y
During
the year ended Q3 2018, national house prices in Iceland increased by just 2.2
per cent, down sharply from 18.76 per cent y-o-y in the same period last year.
Housing prices increased by 1.25 percent in Q3 2018 quarter-on-quarter.
From
2002 to 2007, Iceland saw the housing boom with house prices rising by over 73
percent. However, from early 2008 to 2010 house prices plummeted by 32,5% due
to Iceland's extreme exposure to the global crisis. In the next three years,
the housing market was quiet, with house prices rising by 5%. In 2014, Iceland
then experienced strong domestic price increases of 5.22%, 6.89% in 2015,
12.55% in 2016, and 12.89% over 2017, attributable to strong demand and a
reduced supply of housing, notably in the capital city of Reykjavik.
Iceland's
continued increase in demand for property is driven by booming tourism.
According to the Icelandic Tourism Board, foreign visitor arrivals rose by 24.2
percent to some 2.2 million in 2017. The majority of tourists come from the
U.S. (26.3%), the UK (14.7%), Germany (7.1%), Canada (4.7%), France (4.6%) and
China (3.9 percent ).
Tha2
1 million foreign visitors visited Iceland through Keflavik Airport over the
first ten months of 2018, up 565 percent over the same period last year. It is
anticipated that about 2.3 million tourists will visit Iceland this year.
Rent:
no reliable data returns
Recent
news: Iceland's forecast for 2018 economic growth has recently been revised to
3.8%, but still slowed from 4% in 2017, 7.2% in 2016 and 4.2% in 2015 as the
economy approaches full capability, based on figures published by the Icelandic
Statistics Group. In November 2018, in the face of increased inflationary
pressures, the Central Bank of Iceland has raised its key rate unpredictably by
25 basis points to 4.25%.
Offer 7-year fixed contracts to renters
A major leasing company now offers
seven-year fixed-price contracts to Reykjavík tenants, reports RÚV. Almenna
leigufèlagið, which manages approximately 1,200 rental properties in Reykjavík
and elsewhere in the country, now offers renters a new kind of fixed rental
contract, which is tied to the consumer price index only.
The new lease type is sold under the Alma
trademark. The tenant has unilateral right to extend the agreement for another
year, while contracts are signed for one year at a time. Tenants may extend the
contract for a total of seven years six times.
The high housing cost, particularly for
renters, was a key issue in continuous wage negotiations between the unions and
the Icelandic Business Confederation (SA). Almenna leigufelagið recently
revoked a planned rent increase after a meeting with VR Union. Már Guðmundsson,
the governor of the Iceland Central Bank, warns against a new video that
excessive pay rises would inevitably lead to higher interest rates and
unemployment. His words will fill some of the syndical leaders who are working
to do that now.
The bank revealed this morning its plans to
keep official interest rates as they were. "We now face economic
challenges because of a shrinking tourism industry," said Mar. "More
companies are aimed at reducing their staff rather than increasing them and
inflation is expected to increase because the Icelandic króna value
decreases."
"The good news is that inflation
forecasts have decreased slightly shortly after a rise just before Christmas,
with the Central Bank increasing its real interest rates."
Then Marr appeared to turn his words over
to the union leaders saying that "the opposing forces influenced our
decision to refrain from changing the official interest rate." Strikes and
raises of pay over our capacity would be just such a blow. This would lead to
higher interest rates and unemployment. Let's try to make sure it isn't."
When asked about the current redundancy at
Reykjavík apartments, Már said that a refreshment in the housing market is
expected after an upturn in recent years, reports RÚV. "At the moment, I'm
not that worried. We always expected things to slow down, possibly lower the
high exchange rate of the crown and, in turn, lower housing prices. This has
happened."
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