The ECB's Quantitative Easing Program will Boost Property Markets in the Eurozone.
The ECB surprised markets this week by announcing the size of its quantitative easing (QE) program, which could assist to stabilize recent bond yield and currency losses and pave the path for greater inflation expectations and improved GDP growth. shop for sale in qatar
Of doubt, maintaining market confidence will be critical in the near term,
but the QE program must inspire governments to pursue deeper structural reforms
in the long run. Dedicated reformers, such as Spain, will, in our judgment, be
rewarded the greatest with greater activity and inbound investment.
"If the QE program is effective, the impact on property markets in
general might be enormous," said David Hutchings, Head of EMEA Investment
Strategy at Cushman & Wakefield, "since even more demand would now be
directed into the market." As a result, yields are projected to decrease
further than projected, and volumes will be pushed back even farther toward
record levels."
According to Cushman & Wakefield, absent QE, the market would expect a
5-10% boost in European investment volumes this year, as well as a 20-30 basis
point drop in prime yields. With a successful QE package producing lower
borrowing rates for longer periods of time, stronger growth, and some reform,
that projection has been raised to a 40-70 basis point yield drop and a 20%+
increase in property trading.
Cushman & Wakefield also points out that this presupposes investors can
discover the stock they want to buy, which is based on bank sales and
deleveraging, profit taking, and stock recycling. "We should expect
growing interest in a range of foreign markets as Europeans export cash in
pursuit of possibilities, as well as a return to development, aided by recent
decreases in material prices lowering construct costs," Hutchings says.
Furthermore, we anticipate more business activity, such as asset sales by
corporations, joint ventures, and takeovers."
Hong Kong is the most expensive office market in the world, costing twice
as much as the rest.
Office space in Hong Kong is more than twice as expensive as top commercial
property in any other worldwide metropolis, according to property consultant
Knight Frank.
Knight Frank analyzed capital values for premier offices in 32 locations as
part of its 2015 forecast for global commercial property, finding that top Hong
Kong office space is valued at 70,000 US$ per sq. m. This is much more than
Singapore's second-placed rate of 28,340 US$ per sq. m, and more than three
times more than the City of London's rate.
The following are some of the most important worldwide office market
estimates for 2015:
Ultra-high-net-worth individuals and state-owned corporations are leading a
new wave of Chinese investment.
Japanese pension funds will diversify into international real estate.
Rents will rise as tenant demand for offices grows and availability
decreases.
Investors will continue to flock to specialist property, and it will become
more popular.
Despite recent high capital value growth and an uneven global recovery,
Knight Frank predicts that cross-border investment will expand in 2015, as
investors seek greater returns and diversification outside of their home
markets.
Given the enormous weight of money targeting real estate, Knight Frank
predicts worldwide investment volumes will climb by at least 10% to above
US$700 billion in 2015. The final figures for 2014 is projected to reveal that
worldwide commercial property investment volumes topped US$600 billion, a 15%
increase over 2013.
"The availability of land and land values are the basic problems that
are driving rents and capital prices in Hong Kong and Singapore, in
particular," said Darren Yates, Head of Global Capital Markets Research at
Knight Frank.
These areas have a limited supply of land, high population densities, and a
large number of successful multinational enterprises that can afford to pay
higher rates."
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